Notes
Slide Show
Outline
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"The American National Election Studies"
  • The American National Election Studies


  • 2005-2009


  • Jon Krosnick, Principal Investigator
  • Arthur Lupia, Principal Investigator


  • David Howell, Director of Studies


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The Creators
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Imitation and Flattery
  • The Changing American Voter
  • The Unchanging American Voter
  • The New American Voter
  • The Disappearing American Voter
  • The Duping of the American Voter
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Funding
  • The Carnegie Corporation
  • The Rockefeller Foundation
  • The Ford Foundation
  • The National Science Foundation


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Our Fundamental Questions
  • Why do some citizens vote and others don’t?
  • How do citizens evaluate candidates and select the candidate they vote for?


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The Time Series Studies
  • 1948 1966 1980 1994
  • 1952 1968 1982 1996
  • 1956 1970 1984 1998
  • 1958 1972 1986 2000
  • 1960 1974 1988 2002
  • 1962 1976 1990 2004
  • 1964 1978 1992
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Panel Reinterview Studies
  • 1956 – 1958 – 1960
  • 1972 – 1974 – 1976
  • 1980 (January – January)
  • 1988 – 1990 – 1992
  • 2000 – 2002 – 2004


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Pilot Studies
(to test new questions)
  • 1979 1993
  • 1983 1995
  • 1985 1997
  • 1987 1998
  • 1989 2000
  • 1991


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More Special Designs
  • 1992 Methods Comparison Project


  • 1984 Continuous Monitoring Study


  • 1988-1992 Pooled Senate Study


  • 1998 Super Tuesday Study
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"Registration / Turnout"
  • Registration / Turnout
  • Vote choice
  • Attitudes toward candidates
  • Reasons to vote for and against the candidates
  • Perceptions of candidate personalities
  • Emotions evoked by the candidates
  • Predictions of the candidates’ performance
  • Attitudes toward government policies
  • Perceptions of the candidates’ policy attitudes
  • Evaluations of the incumbent’s performance



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"Perceived recent changes in national..."
  • Perceived recent changes in national conditions
  • Identification with political parties
  • Liberal/conservative ideology
  • Values
  • Policy issue priorities
  • Participation in the campaign
  • Exposure to the news media
  • Attitudes toward social groups
  • Perceptions of social groups’ attitudes toward policies



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"Desired government spending on specific"
  • Desired government spending on specific issues
  • Patriotism
  • Religion, religious behavior, religious beliefs
  • Interest in politics
  • Possession of political information
  • Social networks for talking about politics
  • Racial prejudice
  • Preferred size of government
  • Demographics
  •       … and lots more


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The Future
  • NSF Workshops on Infrastructure Surveys


  • Nearly Tripled Budget for 2005-2009


  • Lots of innovation


    • The Traditional Time Series
    • A 21-wave panel study 2007-2009
    • Questions on the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth
    •   2006 Pilot Study
    •   Input from psychologists, economists, sociologists, etc.