THE ANES GUIDE TO PUBLIC OPINION AND ELECTORAL BEHAVIOR ______________________________________________________ Care Who Wins Presidential Election 1952-2008 PERCENT AMONG DEMOGRAPHIC GROUPS WHO RESPONDED: 'Don't Care, DK' Percent of group: '52 '54 '56 '58 '60 '62 '64 '66 '68 '70 '72 '74 '76 '78 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '08 Males 31 ** 34 ** 32 ** 34 ** 34 ** 39 ** 42 ** 44 ** 34 ** 36 ** 25 ** 23 ** 22 ** 16 22 Females 35 ** 39 ** 37 ** 35 ** 36 ** 40 ** 44 ** 45 ** 36 ** 41 ** 25 ** 22 ** 26 ** 14 18 Whites 32 ** 36 ** 32 ** 36 ** 36 ** 40 ** 44 ** 46 ** 34 ** 39 ** 24 ** 23 ** 25 ** 14 21 Blacks 40 ** 48 ** 58 ** 22 ** 23 ** 33 ** 33 ** 27 ** 33 ** 37 ** 29 ** 17 ** 23 ** 19 11 Grade Sch./Some High Sch. 42 ** 46 ** 42 ** 43 ** 38 ** 48 ** 45 ** 42 ** 41 ** 43 ** 34 ** 39 ** 45 ** 34 30 High School Diploma 30 ** 38 ** 35 ** 34 ** 35 ** 40 ** 47 ** 48 ** 39 ** 46 ** 30 ** 24 ** 29 ** 18 27 Some College, no Degree 18 ** 19 ** 25 ** 30 ** 33 ** 34 ** 39 ** 39 ** 32 ** 33 ** 23 ** 21 ** 22 ** 15 20 College Degree/ Post-grad 16 ** 22 ** 23 ** 25 ** 30 ** 30 ** 37 ** 41 ** 26 ** 26 ** 16 ** 17 ** 13 ** 6 11 Income 0-16 Percentile 44 ** 52 ** 47 ** 38 ** 39 ** 45 ** 44 ** 46 ** 39 ** 42 ** 32 ** 25 ** 35 ** 28 26 Income 17-33 Percentile 38 ** 40 ** 41 ** 40 ** 39 ** 40 ** 40 ** 43 ** 38 ** 41 ** 28 ** 27 ** 24 ** 16 21 Income 34-67 Percentile 32 ** 37 ** 35 ** 34 ** 32 ** 42 ** 47 ** 44 ** 34 ** 39 ** 24 ** 24 ** 27 ** 12 19 Income 68-95 Percentile 27 ** 30 ** 30 ** 29 ** 33 ** 35 ** 42 ** 45 ** 32 ** 34 ** 20 ** 18 ** 19 ** 7 17 Income 96-100 Percentile 14 ** 17 ** 10 ** 28 ** 28 ** 24 ** 30 ** 39 ** 21 ** 17* ** 13 ** 14 ** 11 ** 14 23 Professionals 19 ** 27 ** 22 ** 30 ** 32 ** 31 ** 40 ** 39 ** 27 ** 33 ** 19 ** 17 ** 17 ** 9 ** White Collar 30 ** 35 ** 31 ** 26 ** 34 ** 36 ** 42 ** 41 ** 36 ** 40 ** 23 ** 20 ** 24 ** 13 ** Blue Collar 35 ** 39 ** 37 ** 37 ** 33 ** 43 ** 44 ** 46 ** 37 ** 45 ** 29 ** 27 ** 27 ** 18 ** Unskilled 43 ** 48 ** 36* ** 31* ** 42* ** 49* ** 52 ** 52* ** 48 ** 43 ** 40 ** 24* ** 34* ** 30* ** Farmers 36 ** 38 ** 41 ** 38 ** 33 ** 43 ** 45 ** 59* ** 41 ** 33 ** 28 ** 11* ** 31* ** 31* ** Housewives 35 ** 38 ** 39 ** 38 ** 38 ** 42 ** 45 ** 48 ** 38 ** 37 ** 30 ** 28 ** 30 ** 12 ** Union Households 31 ** 39 ** 37 ** 28 ** 40 ** 41 ** 46 ** 44 ** 33 ** 39 ** 25 ** 21 ** 22 ** 10 19 Non-Union Households 34 ** 36 ** 34 ** 37 ** 33 ** 39 ** 43 ** 44 ** 36 ** 39 ** 25 ** 23 ** 25 ** 16 20 South 38 ** 42 ** 39 ** 38 ** 28 ** 41 ** 37 ** 41 ** 36 ** 40 ** 26 ** 21 ** 24 ** 15 19 Nonsouth 32 ** 35 ** 33 ** 33 ** 37 ** 39 ** 45 ** 45 ** 35 ** 38 ** 25 ** 23 ** 24 ** 15 21 Born 1991 or later ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** 28 Born 1975-1990 ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** 46* ** 24 ** 34 ** 20 18 Born 1959-1974 ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** 50 ** 41 ** 48 ** 28 ** 28 ** 29 ** 16 18 Born 1943-1958 ** ** ** ** ** ** 35* ** 48 ** 44 ** 48 ** 50 ** 35 ** 38 ** 24 ** 18 ** 20 ** 12 13 Born 1927-1942 28 ** 40 ** 36 ** 34 ** 35 ** 38 ** 44 ** 40 ** 31 ** 32 ** 24 ** 19 ** 16 ** 11 18 Born 1911-1926 36 ** 37 ** 34 ** 33 ** 32 ** 37 ** 37 ** 39 ** 36 ** 37 ** 23 ** 18 ** 20 ** 16 ** Born 1895-1910 31 ** 34 ** 35 ** 36 ** 31 ** 38 ** 39 ** 42 ** 32 ** 41 ** 20 ** 26* ** 24* ** ** ** Born before 1895 34 ** 40 ** 33 ** 37 ** 41 ** 46 ** 46 ** 17* ** 33* ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** Democrats (incl leaners) 34 ** 36 ** 37 ** 29 ** 35 ** 42 ** 38 ** 41 ** 32 ** 36 ** 23 ** 19 ** 19 ** 14 15 Independents 52 ** 61 ** 50 ** 65 ** 52 ** 62 ** 69 ** 73 ** 66 ** 72 ** 48 ** 46 ** 55 ** 43 49 Republicans (incl leaners) 23 ** 26 ** 24 ** 36 ** 28 ** 27 ** 39 ** 36 ** 29 ** 32 ** 20 ** 20 ** 20 ** 8 17 Liberals ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** 34 ** 41 ** 32 ** 26 ** 37 ** 17 ** 14 ** 17 ** 12 11 Moderates ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** 40 ** 47 ** 46 ** 42 ** 38 ** 23 ** 25 ** 27 ** 16 24 Conservatives ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** 29 ** 31 ** 40 ** 24 ** 29 ** 18 ** 17 ** 15 ** 8 12 * numbers followed by an asterisk indicate 50 or fewer total respondents within group ** indicates question not asked or no cases within group 2008 NOTE: open-ended coding of occupation is not yet complete. .................... Table 6D.7.1 Source: The American National Election Studies NOTE: variable used for race grouping has changed. See Table 1A.3 Table generated: 05AUG10