The ANES Guide to Public Opinion and Electoral Behavior

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Expected Closeness of Presidential Race 1952-2004
  '52 '54 '56 '58 '60 '62 '64 '66 '68 '70 '72 '74 '76 '78 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04
Will Win by Quite a Bit: 20 ** 25 ** 12 ** 43 ** 20 ** 56 ** 14 ** 14 ** 46 ** 25 ** 17 ** 46 ** 14 ** 18
Close Race : 61 ** 57 ** 64 ** 42 ** 60 ** 32 ** 69 ** 70 ** 48 ** 70 ** 79 ** 53 ** 85 ** 81
Don't Know, Depends : 19 ** 18 ** 25 ** 16 ** 20 ** 13 ** 17 ** 16 ** 6 ** 5 ** 3 ** 1 ** 2 ** 1
N   1755   1629   1870   1470   1497   2697   2857   1565   2252   2030   2482   1710   1807   1157

PERCENTAGE WITHIN STUDY YEAR
Table 6D.9
Source: The American National Election Studies
Link to the ASCII text version of this table  


QUESTION TEXT:

(IF R PREDICTS A WINNER IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) "Do you think it
will be a close race or will {R's predicted winning candidate} win
by quite a bit?" 1980-later: (IF R REPLIES "DK" WHO WILL WIN
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) "Do you thing the presidential race will be
close or will one candidate win by quite a bit?"


Graph of Response:


Percent among demographic groups who responded:

 
 

This question is variable VCF0714 in the ANES Cumulative Data File dataset.
Consult the Cumulative Data File codebook for complete question text and annotation.
Weight variable VCF0009A was used to produce this table (see weight documentation)

(Table generated: 27NOV05)


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